Roma are the Serie A side with the most different players to have scored at least twice this term (12) - closely followed by Inter (11) - but Tammy Abraham remains their greatest threat to the champions.
They have also been more sure-footed defensively in recent weeks, with fit-again Chris Smalling to the fore, so Mourinho can throw a spanner in the works by restricting his old employers to a point.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 60.14%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Roma had a probability of 18.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.73%) and 1-0 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.92%), while for a Roma win it was 1-2 (5.08%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
