Inter can get back on track with a victory this week, as Fiorentina do not tend to travel well, and their attacking approach may play into the champions' hands.
The Nerazzurri have scored the joint-most goals in the last 30 minutes of Serie A games this season (22), so another late strike such as last weekend's should not be discounted if the scores remain level heading towards stoppage time.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 67.62%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Fiorentina had a probability of 13.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.77%) and 1-0 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.62%), while for a Fiorentina win it was 1-2 (3.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.
