MX23RW : Saturday, October 22 19:30:55
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Saturday, October 22
Sep 26, 2020 at 7.45pm UK at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Inter Milan
4 - 3
Fiorentina
Martinez (45+2'), Ceccherini (52' og.), Lukaku (87'), D'Ambrosio (89')
Barella (7')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Kouame (3'), Castrovilli (57'), Chiesa (63')
Ceccherini (32')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 67.2%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Fiorentina had a probability of 14.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 1-0 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.71%), while for a Fiorentina win it was 1-2 (4.04%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
Inter MilanDrawFiorentina
67.2%18.63%14.17%
Both teams to score 54.1%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.52%38.48%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.22%60.78%
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.44%10.56%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.7%34.3%
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.48%39.52%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.79%76.21%
Score Analysis
    Inter Milan 67.19%
    Fiorentina 14.17%
    Draw 18.63%
Inter MilanDrawFiorentina
2-0 @ 10.54%
2-1 @ 9.79%
1-0 @ 9.38%
3-0 @ 7.9%
3-1 @ 7.34%
4-0 @ 4.44%
4-1 @ 4.13%
3-2 @ 3.41%
5-0 @ 2%
4-2 @ 1.92%
5-1 @ 1.86%
Other @ 4.5%
Total : 67.19%
1-1 @ 8.71%
2-2 @ 4.55%
0-0 @ 4.17%
3-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 18.63%
1-2 @ 4.04%
0-1 @ 3.87%
0-2 @ 1.8%
2-3 @ 1.41%
1-3 @ 1.25%
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 14.17%

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TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli108202591626
2AC Milan1182124111326
3Atalanta BCAtalanta107301661024
4Roma10712139422
5Lazio106312151621
6Udinese106311910921
7Juventus115421771019
8Inter Milan106041814418
9Salernitana113441316-313
10SassuoloSassuolo103341212012
11Torino10325812-411
12Empoli11254915-611
13Fiorentina10244812-410
14Monza113171019-910
15SpeziaSpezia11236920-119
16Lecce10154912-38
17Bologna101451017-77
18Hellas VeronaHellas Verona10127919-105
19Cremonese10046921-124
20Sampdoria10037518-133
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