In contrast to their ownership of the second-best home record in Serie A, Fiorentina tend to struggle away from Florence, and victory will be far from straightforward at the Arechi, given their hosts' desperate desire for points.
Nonetheless, the Viola are set to record their seventh Serie A win on the road this term, thanks to their capabilities in the final third - which Salernitana are ill-equipped to withstand.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 56.69%. A win for Salernitana had a probability of 22.31% and a draw had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.83%) and 0-1 (7.53%). The likeliest Salernitana win was 2-1 (5.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
