SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Empoli | 38 | -20 | 41 |
| 15 | Sampdoria | 38 | -17 | 36 |
| 16 | Spezia | 38 | -30 | 36 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Lazio | 38 | 19 | 64 |
| 6 | Roma | 38 | 16 | 63 |
| 7 | Fiorentina | 38 | 8 | 62 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 54.43%. A win for Sampdoria had a probability of 23.13% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.02%) and 0-2 (8.5%). The likeliest Sampdoria win was 2-1 (6.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Sampdoria | Draw | Roma |
| 23.13% | 22.44% | 54.43% |
| Both teams to score 58.09% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.58% | 41.43% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.18% | 63.82% |
| Sampdoria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.49% | 31.51% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.1% | 67.91% |
| Roma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.82% | 15.18% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 56.21% | 43.79% |
| Score Analysis |
| Sampdoria | Draw | Roma |
| 2-1 @ 6.01% 1-0 @ 5.52% 2-0 @ 3.19% 3-1 @ 2.31% 3-2 @ 2.18% 3-0 @ 1.23% Other @ 2.69% Total : 23.13% | 1-1 @ 10.41% 2-2 @ 5.67% 0-0 @ 4.78% 3-3 @ 1.37% Other @ 0.2% Total : 22.44% | 1-2 @ 9.82% 0-1 @ 9.02% 0-2 @ 8.5% 1-3 @ 6.17% 0-3 @ 5.34% 2-3 @ 3.56% 1-4 @ 2.91% 0-4 @ 2.52% 2-4 @ 1.68% 1-5 @ 1.1% 0-5 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.87% Total : 54.43% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Napoli | 27 | 23 | 2 | 2 | 64 | 16 | 48 | 71 |
| 2 | Lazio | 28 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 44 | 19 | 25 | 55 |
| 3 | Inter Milan | 28 | 16 | 2 | 10 | 47 | 32 | 15 | 50 |
| 4 | Roma | 28 | 15 | 5 | 8 | 38 | 26 | 12 | 50 |
| 5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 47 | 32 | 15 | 48 |
| 6 | AC Milan | 27 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 44 | 36 | 8 | 48 |
| 7 | Juventus | 28 | 18 | 5 | 5 | 46 | 22 | 24 | 44 |
| 8 | Fiorentina | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 40 |
| 9 | Bologna | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 40 |
| 10 | Udinese | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 38 |
| 11 | Torino | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 29 | 33 | -4 | 37 |
| 12 | SassuoloSassuolo | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 36 |
| 13 | Monza | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 32 | 39 | -7 | 34 |
| 14 | Empoli | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 28 |
| 15 | Salernitana | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 32 | 48 | -16 | 28 |
| 16 | Lecce | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 27 |
| 17 | SpeziaSpezia | 28 | 5 | 10 | 13 | 24 | 44 | -20 | 25 |
| 18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 28 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 22 | 42 | -20 | 19 |
| 19 | Sampdoria | 28 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 16 | 47 | -31 | 15 |
| 20 | Cremonese | 28 | 1 | 10 | 17 | 23 | 52 | -29 | 13 |
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