SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 69.3%. A draw had a probability of 18.6% and a win for Inter Miami had a probability of 12.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.36%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.85%), while for a Inter Miami win it was 0-1 (4.08%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that New York City FC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| New York City FC | Draw | Inter Miami |
69.3% ( 1.01) | 18.61% ( -0.09) | 12.09% ( -0.92) |
| Both teams to score 47.94% ( -2.53) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.54% ( -1.89) | 43.45% ( 1.89) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.15% ( -1.88) | 65.85% ( 1.88) |
| New York City FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.59% ( -0.26) | 11.41% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 63.83% ( -0.58) | 36.17% ( 0.58) |
| Inter Miami Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.11% ( -2.69) | 45.89% ( 2.69) |
