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| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Atlanta United | 30 | -2 | 36 |
| 10 | Inter Miami | 29 | -9 | 36 |
| 11 | Chicago Fire | 30 | -8 | 35 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | New York Red Bulls | 31 | 8 | 50 |
| 4 | Columbus Crew | 29 | 6 | 41 |
| 5 | New England Revolution | 30 | -1 | 38 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 38.98%. A win for Inter Miami had a probability of 35.75% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (6.27%). The likeliest Inter Miami win was 1-0 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Inter Miami in this match.
| Result | ||
| Inter Miami | Draw | Columbus Crew |
35.75% ( 0.05) | 25.28% ( -0) | 38.98% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 56.68% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.99% ( 0.02) | 47.01% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.74% ( 0.02) | 69.25% ( -0.02) |
| Inter Miami Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.41% ( 0.04) | 25.59% ( -0.04) |
