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| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Toronto | 30 | -6 | 34 |
| 7 | Chicago Fire | 29 | -10 | 32 |
| 8 | Sporting Kansas City | 29 | -14 | 30 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | New England Revolution | 29 | 0 | 38 |
| 9 | Inter Miami | 28 | -7 | 36 |
| 10 | Toronto | 30 | -6 | 34 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 51.99%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Inter Miami had a probability of 22.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.08%) and 2-1 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.04%), while for a Inter Miami win it was 0-1 (7.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chicago Fire would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chicago Fire | Draw | Inter Miami |
51.99% ( -0.31) | 25.49% ( 0.06) | 22.52% ( 0.25) |
| Both teams to score 47.75% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.24% ( -0) | 54.76% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.93% ( -0) | 76.07% ( 0) |
| Chicago Fire Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.91% ( -0.13) | 21.09% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 46.09% ( -0.21) | 53.91% ( 0.21) |
| Inter Miami Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.51% ( 0.24) | 39.49% ( -0.24) |
