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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 48.88%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 27.83% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.33%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 1-2 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for New York City FC in this match.
| Result | ||
| Atlanta United | Draw | New York City FC |
48.88% ( -0.14) | 23.28% ( 0) | 27.83% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 60.06% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.97% ( 0.09) | 41.02% ( -0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.58% ( 0.09) | 63.41% ( -0.09) |
| Atlanta United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.01% ( -0.02) | 16.98% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 52.9% ( -0.03) | 47.09% ( 0.04) |
| New York City FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.35% ( 0.15) | 27.65% ( -0.15) |
