SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 68.6%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Orlando City had a probability of 12.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.49%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.01%), while for a Orlando City win it was 0-1 (4.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that New York City FC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| New York City FC | Draw | Orlando City |
68.6% ( 0.09) | 18.94% ( -0.04) | 12.45% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 47.96% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.97% ( 0.05) | 44.03% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.59% ( 0.05) | 66.41% ( -0.05) |
| New York City FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.24% ( 0.03) | 11.76% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.07% ( 0.08) | 36.93% ( -0.08) |
| Orlando City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.35% ( -0.05) | 45.65% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.55% ( -0.04) | 81.45% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| New York City FC | Draw | Orlando City |
| 2-0 @ 12.29% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 11.49% 2-1 @ 9.64% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 8.78% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 6.88% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 4.7% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 3.68% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.7% ( -0)5-0 @ 2.01% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.58% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.44% ( 0)Other @ 3.41% Total : 68.59% | 1-1 @ 9.01% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.37% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 3.78% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.78% Total : 18.94% | 0-1 @ 4.21% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 3.53% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 1.65% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 0.99% ( -0)1-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.15% Total : 12.45% |
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