SM
The new MLS season is now up and running, and you can watch every match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe.
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | New York Red Bulls | 30 | 7 | 47 |
| 4 | New York City FC | 30 | 14 | 46 |
| 5 | Orlando City | 28 | -5 | 42 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 38.63%. A win for Charlotte FC had a probability of 36.62% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.08%) and 0-2 (5.96%). The likeliest Charlotte FC win was 2-1 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Charlotte FC | Draw | New York City FC |
36.62% ( 1.55) | 24.74% ( 0.41) | 38.63% ( -1.96) |
| Both teams to score 58.66% ( -1.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.51% ( -1.77) | 44.49% ( 1.78) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.14% ( -1.74) | 66.86% ( 1.74) |
| Charlotte FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.06% ( 0.03) | 23.94% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.84% ( 0.05) | 58.16% ( -0.04) |
| New York City FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.12% ( -1.74) | 22.88% ( 1.74) |
