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Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
3 | CF Montreal | 17 | 3 | 29 |
4 | New York City FC | 16 | 15 | 28 |
5 | Orlando City | 17 | -3 | 25 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
7 | Columbus Crew | 16 | 2 | 21 |
8 | Atlanta United | 16 | 3 | 19 |
9 | Toronto | 18 | -10 | 18 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 62.62%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Atlanta United had a probability of 17.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.73%) and 1-0 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.35%), while for an Atlanta United win it was 1-2 (4.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
New York City FC | Draw | Atlanta United |
62.62% ( 0.29) | 20.12% ( -0.02) | 17.25% ( -0.26) |
Both teams to score 56.27% ( -0.48) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.77% ( -0.36) | 39.22% ( 0.36) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.44% ( -0.38) | 61.55% ( 0.38) |
New York City FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.01% ( -0.03) | 11.98% ( 0.03) |