SM
The new MLS season is now up and running, and you can watch every match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe.
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Toronto | 32 | -12 | 34 |
| 9 | Houston Dynamo | 31 | -10 | 33 |
| 10 | DC United | 31 | -31 | 27 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Atlanta United | 32 | -1 | 40 |
| 9 | Inter Miami | 30 | -8 | 39 |
| 10 | New England Revolution | 32 | -4 | 38 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 41.66%. A win for Inter Miami had a probability of 31.43% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Inter Miami win was 0-1 (9.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Inter Miami would win this match.
| Result | ||
| DC United | Draw | Inter Miami |
41.66% ( 0.04) | 26.91% ( -0.1) | 31.43% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 50.25% ( 0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.21% ( 0.39) | 54.78% ( -0.39) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.91% ( 0.33) | 76.09% ( -0.33) |
| DC United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.06% ( 0.2) | 25.94% ( -0.2) |
