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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 46.13%. A win for Inter Miami had a probability of 30.48% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.72%) and 0-2 (6.71%). The likeliest Inter Miami win was 2-1 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that CF Montreal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Inter Miami | Draw | CF Montreal |
30.48% ( 0.13) | 23.38% ( 0.08) | 46.13% ( -0.22) |
| Both teams to score 61.6% ( -0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.2% ( -0.34) | 39.8% ( 0.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.84% ( -0.35) | 62.15% ( 0.35) |
| Inter Miami Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.72% ( -0.09) | 25.27% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 39.96% ( -0.12) | 60.03% ( 0.12) |
| CF Montreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.43% ( -0.22) | 17.56% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 51.88% ( -0.38) | 48.11% ( 0.37) |
| Score Analysis |
| Inter Miami | Draw | CF Montreal |
| 2-1 @ 7.3% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 6.11% ( 0.08)2-0 @ 4.2% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 3.35% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.91% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 1.93% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.15% ( -0)4-2 @ 1% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.54% Total : 30.48% | 1-1 @ 10.61% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 6.35% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 4.44% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.37% | 1-2 @ 9.24% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.72% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 6.71% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 5.35% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 3.89% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 3.68% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 2.33% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 1.69% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.6% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.92% Total : 46.13% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 22 | 14 | 8 | 33 |
| 2 | Nashville SCNashville | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 25 |
| 3 | New England RevolutionNew England | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 17 | 5 | 25 |
| 4 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 24 |
| 5 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 23 |
| 6 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 21 |
| 7 | Orlando City | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 20 |
| 8 | DC United | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 19 |
| 9 | Columbus Crew | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 18 |
| 10 | CF MontrealMontreal | 14 | 6 | 0 | 8 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 18 |
| 11 | Chicago Fire | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 16 |
| 12 | New York City FCNY City | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 19 | -3 | 16 |
| 13 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 16 |
| 14 | Toronto | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 19 | -4 | 16 |
| 15 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 14 | 5 | 0 | 9 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 15 |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | St Louis City | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 29 | 14 | 15 | 26 |
| 2 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 26 |
| 3 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 23 | 10 | 13 | 25 |
| 4 | Dallas | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 24 |
| 5 | Portland TimbersPortland | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 19 |
| 6 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 19 |
| 7 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 19 |
| 8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 18 |
| 9 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 17 |
| 10 | Austin FCAustin | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 16 |
| 11 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 16 |
| 12 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 12 |
| 13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 10 |
| 14 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 10 | 24 | -14 | 9 |
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