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La Liga | Gameweek 28
Mar 16, 2025 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio de Vallecas
RS

Rayo Vallecano
vs.
Real Sociedad

 
Coverage of the La Liga clash between Rayo Vallecano and Real Sociedad.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 1-1 Sevilla
Saturday, March 1 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Next Game: Real Madrid vs. Rayo Vallecano
Sunday, March 9 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Real Sociedad 1-1 Man Utd
Thursday, March 6 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Next Game: Real Sociedad vs. Sevilla
Sunday, March 9 at 8pm in La Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 40.95%. A win for Real Sociedad has a probability of 30.84% and a draw has a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.23%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Real Sociedad win is 0-1 (10.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.16%).

Result
Rayo VallecanoDrawReal Sociedad
40.95% (0.456 0.46) 28.21% (-0.058 -0.06) 30.84% (-0.399 -0.4)
Both teams to score 46.26% (0.023000000000003 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.27% (0.092999999999996 0.09)59.73% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.97% (0.072000000000003 0.07)80.03% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
Rayo Vallecano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.35% (0.30199999999999 0.3)28.65% (-0.301 -0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.53% (0.377 0.38)64.46% (-0.376 -0.38)
Real Sociedad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.84% (-0.24300000000001 -0.24)35.16% (0.244 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.09% (-0.257 -0.26)71.91% (0.25800000000001 0.26)
Score Analysis
    Rayo Vallecano 40.94%
    Real Sociedad 30.84%
    Draw 28.21%
Rayo VallecanoDrawReal Sociedad
1-0 @ 12.59% (0.06 0.06)
2-1 @ 8.23% (0.055000000000001 0.06)
2-0 @ 7.87% (0.104 0.1)
3-1 @ 3.43% (0.051 0.05)
3-0 @ 3.28% (0.07 0.07)
3-2 @ 1.79% (0.015 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.07% (0.025 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.03% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 40.94%
1-1 @ 13.16% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 10.07% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.3%
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 28.21%
0-1 @ 10.53% (-0.1 -0.1)
1-2 @ 6.88% (-0.057 -0.06)
0-2 @ 5.5% (-0.093 -0.09)
1-3 @ 2.4% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.92% (-0.046 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.5% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 30.84%

Form Guide
Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 1-1 Sevilla
Saturday, March 1 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 0-1 Villarreal
Saturday, February 22 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Barcelona 1-0 Rayo Vallecano
Monday, February 17 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 1-0 Valladolid
Friday, February 7 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Leganes 0-1 Rayo Vallecano
Friday, January 31 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 2-1 Girona
Sunday, January 26 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Real Sociedad 1-1 Man Utd
Thursday, March 6 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Barcelona 4-0 Real Sociedad
Sunday, March 2 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Real Sociedad 0-1 Real Madrid
Wednesday, February 26 at 8.30pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Real Sociedad 3-0 Leganes
Sunday, February 23 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Real Sociedad 5-2 Midtjylland
Thursday, February 20 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Betis 3-0 Real Sociedad
Sunday, February 16 at 8pm in La Liga


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