Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 65.33%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 15.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 1-0 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.87%), while for a Real Sociedad win it was 1-2 (4.37%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.
-2.56) 
0.64) 
