SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 51.36%. A win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 25.22% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.37%) and 2-0 (8.28%). The likeliest Atletico Madrid win was 1-2 (6.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.96%). The actual scoreline of 4-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Barcelona | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
51.36% ( -0.05) | 23.41% ( 0.29) | 25.22% ( -0.24) |
| Both teams to score 57.19% ( -1.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.27% ( -1.54) | 43.73% ( 1.54) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.88% ( -1.53) | 66.12% ( 1.52) |
| Barcelona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.92% ( -0.59) | 17.08% ( 0.58) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.74% ( -1.05) | 47.26% ( 1.04) |
| Atletico Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.97% ( -1.02) | 31.03% ( 1.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.66% ( -1.2) | 67.34% ( 1.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Barcelona | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
| 2-1 @ 9.69% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.37% ( 0.44)2-0 @ 8.28% ( 0.23)3-1 @ 5.71% ( -0.11)3-0 @ 4.88% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 3.34% ( -0.16)4-1 @ 2.52% ( -0.1)4-0 @ 2.15% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.48% ( -0.1)Other @ 3.97% Total : 51.36% | 1-1 @ 10.96% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 5.67% ( -0.16)0-0 @ 5.3% ( 0.35)3-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.41% | 1-2 @ 6.41% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 6.2% ( 0.24)0-2 @ 3.63% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 2.5% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.12)0-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.85% Total : 25.22% |
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