SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 42.89%. A win for Manchester United had a probability of 32.28% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 2-1 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.93%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Manchester United win was 1-2 (7.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Real Sociedad | Draw | Manchester United |
42.89% ( 0.16) | 24.83% ( 0) | 32.28% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 57.35% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.25% ( -0.06) | 45.76% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.93% ( -0.06) | 68.07% ( 0.06) |
| Real Sociedad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.64% ( 0.05) | 21.37% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.66% ( 0.07) | 54.34% ( -0.07) |
| Manchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.94% ( -0.13) | 27.07% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.57% ( -0.17) | 62.44% ( 0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Sociedad | Draw | Manchester United |
| 2-1 @ 9% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 8.93% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 6.89% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 4.63% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.54% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.03% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.79% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.37% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.17% ( 0)Other @ 2.56% Total : 42.89% | 1-1 @ 11.66% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.88% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.78% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.82% | 1-2 @ 7.62% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 7.56% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.94% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.32% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.56% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.04% Total : 32.28% |
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