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MU
FA Cup | Fifth Round
Mar 2, 2025 at 4.30pm UK
Old Trafford
FL

Man Utd
1 - 1
Fulham

Fulham win 4-3 on penalties
Fernandes (71')
Ugarte (25')
FT
(aet)
Bassey (45+1')
Pereira (27'), Andersen (90+6')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Man Utd 3-2 Ipswich
Wednesday, February 26 at 7.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Wolves 1-2 Fulham
Tuesday, February 25 at 7.30pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 51.29%. A win for Fulham had a probability of 25.97% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.27%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Fulham win was 1-2 (6.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.4%).

Result
Manchester UnitedDrawFulham
51.29% (-0.112 -0.11) 22.73% (0.228 0.23) 25.97% (-0.106 -0.11)
Both teams to score 60.32% (-0.916 -0.92)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.06% (-1.159 -1.16)39.94% (1.168 1.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.69% (-1.215 -1.22)62.31% (1.222 1.22)
Manchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.28% (-0.453 -0.45)15.72% (0.461 0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.2% (-0.852 -0.85)44.8% (0.862 0.86)
Fulham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.57% (-0.69200000000001 -0.69)28.43% (0.7 0.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.81% (-0.882 -0.88)64.19% (0.88999999999999 0.89)
Score Analysis
    Manchester United 51.29%
    Fulham 25.98%
    Draw 22.73%
Manchester UnitedDrawFulham
2-1 @ 9.62% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
1-0 @ 8.27% (0.314 0.31)
2-0 @ 7.65% (0.172 0.17)
3-1 @ 5.93% (-0.077 -0.08)
3-0 @ 4.72% (0.032 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.73% (-0.123 -0.12)
4-1 @ 2.75% (-0.08 -0.08)
4-0 @ 2.18% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.73% (-0.086 -0.09)
5-1 @ 1.02% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 3.7%
Total : 51.29%
1-1 @ 10.4% (0.2 0.2)
2-2 @ 6.05% (-0.101 -0.1)
0-0 @ 4.47% (0.238 0.24)
3-3 @ 1.57% (-0.083 -0.08)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 22.73%
1-2 @ 6.54% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 5.62% (0.193 0.19)
0-2 @ 3.53% (0.054 0.05)
1-3 @ 2.74% (-0.055 -0.06)
2-3 @ 2.54% (-0.093 -0.09)
0-3 @ 1.48% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 25.98%

Read more!
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Form Guide
Last Game: Man Utd 3-2 Ipswich
Wednesday, February 26 at 7.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Everton 2-2 Man Utd
Saturday, February 22 at 12.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Spurs 1-0 Man Utd
Sunday, February 16 at 4.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man Utd 2-1 Leicester
Friday, February 7 at 8pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Man Utd 0-2 Crystal Palace
Sunday, February 2 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: FCSB 0-2 Man Utd
Thursday, January 30 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Wolves 1-2 Fulham
Tuesday, February 25 at 7.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Fulham 0-2 Crystal Palace
Saturday, February 22 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Fulham 2-1 Nott'm Forest
Saturday, February 15 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Wigan 1-2 Fulham
Saturday, February 8 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Newcastle 1-2 Fulham
Saturday, February 1 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Fulham 0-1 Man Utd
Sunday, January 26 at 7pm in Premier League


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