SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 73.06%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Ipswich Town had a probability of 11.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 2-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 3-0 (8.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.16%), while for a Ipswich Town win it was 1-2 (3.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-2 win for Manchester United in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Manchester United.
| Result | ||
| Manchester United | Draw | Ipswich Town |
73.06% ( 0.14) | 15.74% ( -0.07) | 11.2% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 55.73% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.04% ( 0.15) | 31.96% ( -0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.48% ( 0.17) | 53.52% ( -0.17) |
| Manchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.44% ( 0.06) | 7.55% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 72.93% ( 0.17) | 27.06% ( -0.16) |
| Ipswich Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.28% ( -0.02) | 39.72% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.61% ( -0.01) | 76.39% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester United | Draw | Ipswich Town |
| 2-0 @ 10% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.24% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 8.62% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 7.96% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 7.75% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 5.57% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 5.14% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.67% ( 0)5-0 @ 2.88% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 2.66% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 2.37% ( 0.01)6-0 @ 1.24% ( 0.01)5-2 @ 1.23% ( 0.01)6-1 @ 1.14% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.59% Total : 73.05% | 1-1 @ 7.16% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 4.27% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 3% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.13% ( 0)Other @ 0.19% Total : 15.74% | 1-2 @ 3.3% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 2.77% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.31% ( -0)0-2 @ 1.28% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.52% Total : 11.2% |
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