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Europa League | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Mar 13, 2025 at 8pm UK
Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
AA

Spurs
vs.
AZ

Coverage of the Europa League Round of 16 clash between Tottenham Hotspur and AZ Alkmaar.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AZ 1-0 Spurs
Thursday, March 6 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Next Game: Spurs vs. Bournemouth
Sunday, March 9 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: AZ 1-0 Spurs
Thursday, March 6 at 5.45pm in Europa League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 44.32%. A win for Tottenham Hotspur has a probability of 33.42% and a draw has a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (5.88%) and 0-2 (5.47%). The likeliest Tottenham Hotspur win is 2-1 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.38%).

Result
Tottenham HotspurDrawAZ Alkmaar
33.42% (0.779 0.78) 22.26% (0.068999999999999 0.07) 44.32% (-0.84399999999999 -0.84)
Both teams to score 67.27% (0.078000000000003 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.04% (-0.030999999999992 -0.03)32.96% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.32% (-0.035999999999994 -0.04)54.68% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Tottenham Hotspur Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.69% (0.39400000000001 0.39)20.31% (-0.39 -0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.32% (0.619 0.62)52.68% (-0.618 -0.62)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.42% (-0.31699999999999 -0.32)15.59% (0.322 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.44% (-0.596 -0.6)44.56% (0.601 0.6)
Score Analysis
    Tottenham Hotspur 33.42%
    AZ Alkmaar 44.32%
    Draw 22.26%
Tottenham HotspurDrawAZ Alkmaar
2-1 @ 7.48% (0.109 0.11)
1-0 @ 5.05% (0.069 0.07)
2-0 @ 4.02% (0.102 0.1)
3-1 @ 3.97% (0.104 0.1)
3-2 @ 3.69% (0.057 0.06)
3-0 @ 2.14% (0.079 0.08)
4-1 @ 1.58% (0.06 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.47% (0.039 0.04)
4-3 @ 0.91% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 33.42%
1-1 @ 9.38% (0.025 0.03)
2-2 @ 6.95% (0.024 0.02)
0-0 @ 3.17% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-3 @ 2.29% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 22.26%
1-2 @ 8.72% (-0.074 -0.07)
0-1 @ 5.88% (-0.055 -0.05)
0-2 @ 5.47% (-0.113 -0.11)
1-3 @ 5.4% (-0.107 -0.11)
2-3 @ 4.31% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-3 @ 3.39% (-0.109 -0.11)
1-4 @ 2.51% (-0.078 -0.08)
2-4 @ 2% (-0.037 -0.04)
0-4 @ 1.58% (-0.068 -0.07)
3-4 @ 1.06% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-5 @ 0.93% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 44.32%

Form Guide
Last Game: AZ 1-0 Spurs
Thursday, March 6 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Spurs 0-1 Man City
Wednesday, February 26 at 7.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Ipswich 1-4 Spurs
Saturday, February 22 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Spurs 1-0 Man Utd
Sunday, February 16 at 4.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Aston Villa 2-1 Spurs
Sunday, February 9 at 5.35pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Liverpool 4-0 Spurs
Thursday, February 6 at 8pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: AZ 1-0 Spurs
Thursday, March 6 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Heerenveen 3-1 AZ
Sunday, March 2 at 11.15am in Eredivisie
Last Game: Heracles 2-2 AZ (3-4 pen.)
Thursday, February 27 at 7pm in KNVB Beker
Last Game: AZ 1-0 Sittard
Sunday, February 23 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Galatasaray 2-2 AZ
Thursday, February 20 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: AZ 4-1 Galatasaray
Thursday, February 13 at 8pm in Europa League


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