SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ferencvaros win with a probability of 40.69%. A win for AZ Alkmaar had a probability of 34.44% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ferencvaros win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.55%) and 2-0 (6.43%). The likeliest AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ferencvaros would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ferencvaros | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
40.69% ( -0.02) | 24.87% ( 0) | 34.44% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 57.87% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.63% ( -0.02) | 45.37% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.29% ( -0.02) | 67.71% ( 0.02) |
| Ferencvaros Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.75% ( -0.02) | 22.25% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.32% ( -0.03) | 55.68% ( 0.03) |
| AZ Alkmaar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.43% ( -0) | 25.58% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.56% | 60.45% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ferencvaros | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
| 2-1 @ 8.76% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.55% ( 0)2-0 @ 6.43% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.39% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.22% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.99% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.65% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.21% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.13% ( -0)Other @ 2.37% Total : 40.69% | 1-1 @ 11.66% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.97% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.69% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.36% ( -0)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.87% | 1-2 @ 7.95% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.76% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.29% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.61% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.72% 0-3 @ 2.4% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.23% 2-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.55% Total : 34.44% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
