SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 51.86%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Roma had a probability of 23.86%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.53%), while for a Roma win it was 0-1 (6.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for AZ Alkmaar in this match.
| Result | ||
| AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Roma |
51.86% ( -0.19) | 24.28% ( 0.24) | 23.86% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 52.9% ( -0.83) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.28% ( -1.07) | 48.72% ( 1.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.17% ( -0.98) | 70.83% ( 0.98) |
| AZ Alkmaar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.23% ( -0.48) | 18.77% ( 0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.84% ( -0.81) | 50.16% ( 0.81) |
| Roma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.11% ( -0.63) | 34.88% ( 0.63) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.38% ( -0.67) | 71.62% ( 0.67) |
| Score Analysis |
| AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Roma |
| 1-0 @ 10.95% ( 0.31) 2-1 @ 9.65% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 9.16% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 5.38% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 5.11% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.83% ( -0.11)4-1 @ 2.25% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 2.14% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.19% ( -0.06)Other @ 3.2% Total : 51.86% | 1-1 @ 11.53% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 6.55% ( 0.28)2-2 @ 5.08% ( -0.11)3-3 @ 1% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.27% | 0-1 @ 6.89% ( 0.18) 1-2 @ 6.07% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 3.63% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.07% Total : 23.86% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
