SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elfsborg win with a probability of 41.73%. A win for Roma had a probability of 32.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elfsborg win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest Roma win was 0-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Elfsborg in this match.
| Result | ||
| Elfsborg | Draw | Roma |
41.73% ( -1.3) | 25.34% ( -0.06) | 32.93% ( 1.35) |
| Both teams to score 55.84% ( 0.7) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.18% ( 0.68) | 47.82% ( -0.68) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.99% ( 0.63) | 70.01% ( -0.63) |
| Elfsborg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.2% ( -0.33) | 22.8% ( 0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.49% ( -0.49) | 56.51% ( 0.49) |
| Roma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.33% ( 1.21) | 27.66% ( -1.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.78% ( 1.53) | 63.21% ( -1.53) |
| Score Analysis |
| Elfsborg | Draw | Roma |
| 1-0 @ 9.32% ( -0.36) 2-1 @ 8.86% ( -0.12)2-0 @ 6.89% ( -0.34)3-1 @ 4.37% ( -0.11)3-0 @ 3.4% ( -0.2)3-2 @ 2.81% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.61% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 1.26% ( -0.09)4-2 @ 1.04% ( 0)Other @ 2.19% Total : 41.73% | 1-1 @ 11.98% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 6.31% ( -0.18)2-2 @ 5.69% ( 0.11)3-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.33% | 0-1 @ 8.11% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 7.7% ( 0.23)0-2 @ 5.21% ( 0.2)1-3 @ 3.3% ( 0.2)2-3 @ 2.44% ( 0.13)0-3 @ 2.23% ( 0.16)1-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.1)Other @ 2.89% Total : 32.93% |
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