SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 43.41%. A win for Tottenham Hotspur had a probability of 35.35% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.38%) and 2-3 (4.81%). The likeliest Tottenham Hotspur win was 2-1 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Tottenham Hotspur | Draw | Manchester City |
35.35% ( 0.5) | 21.25% ( 0.04) | 43.41% ( -0.53) |
| Both teams to score 71.93% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 72.81% ( -0.04) | 27.19% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 52.28% ( -0.05) | 47.72% ( 0.06) |
| Tottenham Hotspur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.29% ( 0.2) | 16.71% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.39% ( 0.36) | 46.61% ( -0.35) |
| Manchester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.37% ( -0.19) | 13.63% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.2% ( -0.39) | 40.8% ( 0.39) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tottenham Hotspur | Draw | Manchester City |
| 2-1 @ 7.27% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 4.33% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 4.32% ( 0.04)1-0 @ 4.08% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 3.65% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 2.17% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 1.94% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.93% ( 0.03)4-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 0.97% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.42% Total : 35.35% | 1-1 @ 8.12% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 7.24% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 2.87% ( 0)0-0 @ 2.28% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.74% Total : 21.25% | 1-2 @ 8.09% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 5.38% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 4.81% ( -0.03)0-1 @ 4.54% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 4.52% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 3.01% ( -0.06)1-4 @ 2.68% ( -0.05)2-4 @ 2.4% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 1.5% ( -0.04)3-4 @ 1.43% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 1.07% ( -0.03)2-5 @ 0.96% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.04% Total : 43.41% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
