SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 41.99%. A win for Liverpool had a probability of 35.89% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.4%) and 3-1 (5.14%). The likeliest Liverpool win was 1-2 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Manchester City | Draw | Liverpool |
41.99% ( -2.41) | 22.12% ( 0.62) | 35.89% ( 1.8) |
| Both teams to score 68.58% ( -1.91) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.45% ( -2.67) | 31.55% ( 2.67) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.96% ( -3.2) | 53.04% ( 3.21) |
| Manchester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.1% ( -1.93) | 15.9% ( 1.94) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.87% ( -3.68) | 45.13% ( 3.68) |
| Liverpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.54% ( -0.38) | 18.46% ( 0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.36% ( -0.66) | 49.64% ( 0.66) |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester City | Draw | Liverpool |
| 2-1 @ 8.38% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 5.4% ( 0.43)3-1 @ 5.14% ( -0.35)2-0 @ 4.96% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 4.34% ( -0.36)3-0 @ 3.04% ( -0.17)4-1 @ 2.36% ( -0.34)4-2 @ 2% ( -0.32)4-0 @ 1.4% ( -0.18)4-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.19)Other @ 3.84% Total : 41.99% | 1-1 @ 9.12% ( 0.62) 2-2 @ 7.08% ( -0.07)0-0 @ 2.93% ( 0.41)3-3 @ 2.45% ( -0.23)Other @ 0.54% Total : 22.12% | 1-2 @ 7.7% ( 0.43) 0-1 @ 4.96% ( 0.64)1-3 @ 4.34% ( 0.19)0-2 @ 4.19% ( 0.5)2-3 @ 3.99% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.25)1-4 @ 1.83% ( 0.06)2-4 @ 1.69% ( -0.06)3-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.11)0-4 @ 1% ( 0.1)Other @ 2.81% Total : 35.89% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
