SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 38.74%. A win for AZ Alkmaar had a probability of 37.57% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.86%) and 2-0 (5.43%). The likeliest AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Galatasaray | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
38.74% ( 1.03) | 23.68% ( -0.03) | 37.57% ( -1.01) |
| Both teams to score 62.69% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.71% ( 0.12) | 39.28% ( -0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.38% ( 0.13) | 61.62% ( -0.13) |
| Galatasaray Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.46% ( 0.55) | 20.54% ( -0.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.95% ( 0.87) | 53.05% ( -0.87) |
| AZ Alkmaar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.89% ( -0.43) | 21.1% ( 0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.07% ( -0.68) | 53.93% ( 0.68) |
| Score Analysis |
| Galatasaray | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
| 2-1 @ 8.45% ( 0.12) 1-0 @ 6.86% ( 0.08)2-0 @ 5.43% ( 0.15)3-1 @ 4.46% ( 0.14)3-2 @ 3.47% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 2.87% ( 0.13)4-1 @ 1.76% ( 0.08)4-2 @ 1.37% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 1.13% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.95% Total : 38.74% | 1-1 @ 10.67% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.57% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.33% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.68% | 1-2 @ 8.3% ( -0.13) 0-1 @ 6.74% ( -0.13)0-2 @ 5.25% ( -0.17)1-3 @ 4.31% ( -0.13)2-3 @ 3.41% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 2.72% ( -0.13)1-4 @ 1.68% ( -0.07)2-4 @ 1.33% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.79% Total : 37.57% |
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