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A
Europa League | League Stage
Jan 30, 2025 at 8pm UK
Johan Cruijff Arena
G

Ajax
2 - 1
Galatasaray

Traore (23'), Fitz-Jim (58')
Traore (72')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Osimhen (90+4')
Osimhen (38'), Torreira (53'), Sanchez (79')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: RFS 1-0 Ajax
Thursday, January 23 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Galatasaray 1-0 Konyaspor
Saturday, January 25 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Ajax 1-1 Galatasaray

With two European heavyweights clashing in Amsterdam, we are expecting a hard-fought affair between Ajax and Galatasaray on Thursday night. Cimbom will be desperate to earn three points but will also be cautious of losing their unbeaten status, so a share of the points seems to be the most likely outcome. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 60.05%. A win for Galatasaray had a probability of 20.22% and a draw had a probability of 19.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.7%) and 3-1 (7.17%). The likeliest Galatasaray win was 1-2 (5.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Ajax in this match.

Result
AjaxDrawGalatasaray
60.05% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 19.72% (0.0019999999999989 0) 20.22% (0.004999999999999 0)
Both teams to score 63.61% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.72% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)32.28% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.11% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)53.89% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.42% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)10.57% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.67% (-0.0080000000000098 -0.01)34.32% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Galatasaray Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.13%28.87% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.26% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)64.73% (0.0020000000000095 0)
Score Analysis
    Ajax 60.05%
    Galatasaray 20.22%
    Draw 19.72%
AjaxDrawGalatasaray
2-1 @ 9.57% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 7.7% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 7.17% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-0 @ 6.86% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 5.77%
3-2 @ 4.45% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 4.03% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 3.24% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 2.5%
5-1 @ 1.81%
5-0 @ 1.46% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-2 @ 1.13%
4-3 @ 1.04% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 60.05%
1-1 @ 8.52% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-2 @ 5.95%
0-0 @ 3.05% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.85%
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 19.72%
1-2 @ 5.29% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-1 @ 3.79% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 2.46%
0-2 @ 2.36% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 2.19% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 0.98%
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 20.22%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: RFS 1-0 Ajax
Thursday, January 23 at 8pm in Europa League
Last Game: Heerenveen 0-2 Ajax
Sunday, January 19 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: AZ 2-0 Ajax
Tuesday, January 14 at 5.45pm in KNVB Beker
Last Game: Ajax 2-1 RKC Waalwijk
Saturday, January 11 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Stuttgart 2-2 Ajax
Sunday, January 5 at 1pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Sparta 0-2 Ajax
Sunday, December 22 at 11.15am in Eredivisie
Last Game: Galatasaray 1-0 Konyaspor
Saturday, January 25 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Galatasaray 3-3 Dynamo Kiev
Tuesday, January 21 at 3.30pm in Europa League
Last Game: Hatayspor 1-1 Galatasaray
Friday, January 17 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Istanbul 1-2 Galatasaray
Sunday, January 12 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Galatasaray 2-1 Goztepe SK
Saturday, January 4 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Kayserispor 1-5 Galatasaray
Sunday, December 22 at 1pm in Turkish Super Lig


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