Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 60.05%. A win for Galatasaray had a probability of 20.22% and a draw had a probability of 19.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.7%) and 3-1 (7.17%). The likeliest Galatasaray win was 1-2 (5.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Ajax in this match.
Result | ||
Ajax | Draw | Galatasaray |
60.05% (![]() | 19.72% (![]() | 20.22% (![]() |
Both teams to score 63.61% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.72% (![]() | 32.28% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
46.11% (![]() | 53.89% (![]() |
Ajax Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.42% (![]() | 10.57% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
65.67% (![]() | 34.32% (![]() |
Galatasaray Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.13% | 28.87% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.26% (![]() | 64.73% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Ajax | Draw | Galatasaray |
2-1 @ 9.57% (![]() 2-0 @ 7.7% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 7.17% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 6.86% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 5.77% 3-2 @ 4.45% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 4.03% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 3.24% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 2.5% 5-1 @ 1.81% 5-0 @ 1.46% ( ![]() 5-2 @ 1.13% 4-3 @ 1.04% ( ![]() Other @ 3.33% Total : 60.05% | 1-1 @ 8.52% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.95% 0-0 @ 3.05% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.85% Other @ 0.36% Total : 19.72% | 1-2 @ 5.29% (![]() 0-1 @ 3.79% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.46% 0-2 @ 2.36% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.19% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 3.15% Total : 20.22% |
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