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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 56.89%. A win for Rigas Futbola Skola had a probability of 22.11% and a draw had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.91%) and 0-1 (7.62%). The likeliest Rigas Futbola Skola win was 2-1 (5.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rigas Futbola Skola | Draw | Ajax |
22.11% ( -3.19) | 20.99% ( -0.34) | 56.89% ( 3.53) |
| Both teams to score 61.86% ( -2.87) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.16% ( -2) | 35.84% ( 2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.07% ( -2.23) | 57.93% ( 2.23) |
| Rigas Futbola Skola Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.72% ( -3.6) | 29.28% ( 3.6) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.76% ( -4.65) | 65.24% ( 4.65) |
| Ajax Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.46% ( 0.38) | 12.54% ( -0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.43% ( 0.78) | 38.57% ( -0.78) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rigas Futbola Skola | Draw | Ajax |
| 2-1 @ 5.75% ( -0.52) 1-0 @ 4.51% ( 0)2-0 @ 2.77% ( -0.3)3-2 @ 2.45% ( -0.46)3-1 @ 2.35% ( -0.49)3-0 @ 1.13% ( -0.26)Other @ 3.15% Total : 22.11% | 1-1 @ 9.36% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 5.97% ( -0.45)0-0 @ 3.67% ( 0.35)3-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.29)Other @ 0.3% Total : 20.99% | 1-2 @ 9.72% ( 0.28) 0-2 @ 7.91% ( 0.97)0-1 @ 7.62% ( 0.83)1-3 @ 6.73% ( 0.28)0-3 @ 5.48% ( 0.74)2-3 @ 4.13% ( -0.25)1-4 @ 3.49% ( 0.2)0-4 @ 2.84% ( 0.42)2-4 @ 2.15% ( -0.1)1-5 @ 1.45% ( 0.1)0-5 @ 1.18% ( 0.19)Other @ 4.19% Total : 56.9% |
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