SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 39.22%. A win for Galatasaray had a probability of 37.21% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.79%) and 2-0 (5.45%). The likeliest Galatasaray win was 1-2 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Malmo | Draw | Galatasaray |
39.22% ( -2.43) | 23.57% ( -0.4) | 37.21% ( 2.84) |
| Both teams to score 63.09% ( 2.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.24% ( 2.42) | 38.76% ( -2.42) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.94% ( 2.5) | 61.06% ( -2.5) |
| Malmo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.91% ( -0.08) | 20.09% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.67% ( -0.13) | 52.32% ( 0.13) |
| Galatasaray Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.95% ( 2.59) | 21.05% ( -2.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.15% ( 3.89) | 53.85% ( -3.88) |
| Score Analysis |
| Malmo | Draw | Galatasaray |
| 2-1 @ 8.49% ( -0.34) 1-0 @ 6.79% ( -0.82)2-0 @ 5.45% ( -0.68)3-1 @ 4.54% ( -0.2)3-2 @ 3.54% ( 0.12)3-0 @ 2.91% ( -0.37)4-1 @ 1.82% ( -0.08)4-2 @ 1.42% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 1.17% ( -0.15)Other @ 3.09% Total : 39.22% | 1-1 @ 10.57% ( -0.4) 2-2 @ 6.61% ( 0.25)0-0 @ 4.23% ( -0.5)3-3 @ 1.84% ( 0.2)Other @ 0.32% Total : 23.57% | 1-2 @ 8.24% ( 0.33) 0-1 @ 6.59% ( -0.23)0-2 @ 5.13% ( 0.22)1-3 @ 4.28% ( 0.48)2-3 @ 3.44% ( 0.37)0-3 @ 2.67% ( 0.3)1-4 @ 1.67% ( 0.3)2-4 @ 1.34% ( 0.23)0-4 @ 1.04% ( 0.19)Other @ 2.82% Total : 37.21% |
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