SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 59.5%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Dynamo Kiev had a probability of 20.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.21%) and 1-0 (7.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.04%), while for a Dynamo Kiev win it was 1-2 (5.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Galatasaray | Draw | Dynamo Kiev |
59.5% ( 0.35) | 20.29% ( -0.06) | 20.21% ( -0.29) |
| Both teams to score 61.45% ( -0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.94% ( -0.11) | 35.06% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.94% ( -0.12) | 57.06% ( 0.12) |
| Galatasaray Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.43% ( 0.06) | 11.56% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.49% ( 0.13) | 36.51% ( -0.13) |
| Dynamo Kiev Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.48% ( -0.33) | 30.51% ( 0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.26% ( -0.39) | 66.74% ( 0.39) |
| Score Analysis |
| Galatasaray | Draw | Dynamo Kiev |
| 2-1 @ 9.75% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.21% ( 0.08)1-0 @ 7.61% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 7.01% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 5.91% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 4.16% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 3.78% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 3.19% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.63% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.37% ( 0.02)5-2 @ 0.97% Other @ 3.68% Total : 59.5% | 1-1 @ 9.04% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.78% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 3.53% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.29% Total : 20.29% | 1-2 @ 5.36% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 4.19% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 2.49% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.78% Total : 20.21% |
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