SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 61.08%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Tottenham Hotspur had a probability of 19.19%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.26%) and 1-0 (7.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.73%), while for a Tottenham Hotspur win it was 1-2 (5.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.
| Result | ||
| AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Tottenham Hotspur |
61.08% ( -0.08) | 19.73% ( 0.03) | 19.19% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 61.66% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.02% ( -0.1) | 33.98% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.16% ( -0.12) | 55.84% ( 0.12) |
| AZ Alkmaar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.18% ( -0.05) | 10.82% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.12% ( -0.11) | 34.88% ( 0.11) |
| Tottenham Hotspur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.14% ( -0.02) | 30.86% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.86% ( -0.02) | 67.14% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| AZ Alkmaar | Draw | Tottenham Hotspur |
| 2-1 @ 9.71% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.26% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 7.42% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 7.2% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 6.12% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 4.23% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 4% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 3.4% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 2.35% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.78% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.51% ( -0.01)5-2 @ 1.05% ( -0.01)4-3 @ 0.92% ( -0)Other @ 3.13% Total : 61.08% | 1-1 @ 8.73% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.71% 0-0 @ 3.34% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.3% Total : 19.73% | 1-2 @ 5.13% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 3.93% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 2.31% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.24% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.01% ( 0)0-3 @ 0.91% ( 0)Other @ 2.67% Total : 19.19% |
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