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Premier League | Gameweek 28
Mar 9, 2025 at 2pm UK
Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
BL

Spurs
2 - 2
Bournemouth

Sarr (67'), Heung-min (84' pen.)
Bentancur (30'), Bissouma (45'), Maddison (87')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Tavernier (42'), Evanilson (65')
Tavernier (4'), Semenyo (69'), Huijsen (87')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AZ 1-0 Spurs
Thursday, March 6 at 5.45pm in Europa League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tottenham Hotspur win with a probability of 47.39%. A win for Bournemouth had a probability of 30.96% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tottenham Hotspur win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.83%) and 1-0 (5.65%). The likeliest Bournemouth win was 1-2 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Tottenham HotspurDrawBournemouth
47.39% (1.014 1.01) 21.65% (-0.14 -0.14) 30.96% (-0.875 -0.88)
Both teams to score 68.38% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.97% (0.254 0.25)31.03% (-0.254 -0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.57% (0.29799999999999 0.3)52.42% (-0.301 -0.3)
Tottenham Hotspur Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.22% (0.43300000000001 0.43)13.78% (-0.433 -0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.9% (0.847 0.85)41.1% (-0.849 -0.85)
Bournemouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.32% (-0.348 -0.35)20.68% (0.346 0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.72% (-0.548 -0.55)53.27% (0.548 0.55)
Score Analysis
    Tottenham Hotspur 47.39%
    Bournemouth 30.96%
    Draw 21.65%
Tottenham HotspurDrawBournemouth
2-1 @ 8.82% (0.058999999999999 0.06)
3-1 @ 5.83% (0.129 0.13)
1-0 @ 5.65% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.6% (0.096 0.1)
3-2 @ 4.59% (0.053999999999999 0.05)
3-0 @ 3.7% (0.121 0.12)
4-1 @ 2.89% (0.108 0.11)
4-2 @ 2.28% (0.062 0.06)
4-0 @ 1.83% (0.087 0.09)
4-3 @ 1.2% (0.02 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.14% (0.06 0.06)
5-2 @ 0.9% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 47.39%
1-1 @ 8.9% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-2 @ 6.95% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-0 @ 2.85% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-3 @ 2.41% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 21.65%
1-2 @ 7.02% (-0.138 -0.14)
0-1 @ 4.49% (-0.112 -0.11)
1-3 @ 3.69% (-0.113 -0.11)
2-3 @ 3.65% (-0.054 -0.05)
0-2 @ 3.54% (-0.127 -0.13)
0-3 @ 1.86% (-0.088 -0.09)
1-4 @ 1.45% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-4 @ 1.44% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-4 @ 0.95% (-0.009 -0.01)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 30.96%

Read more!
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Form Guide
Last Game: AZ 1-0 Spurs
Thursday, March 6 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Spurs 0-1 Man City
Wednesday, February 26 at 7.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Ipswich 1-4 Spurs
Saturday, February 22 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Spurs 1-0 Man Utd
Sunday, February 16 at 4.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Aston Villa 2-1 Spurs
Sunday, February 9 at 5.35pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Liverpool 4-0 Spurs
Thursday, February 6 at 8pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Bournemouth 1-1 Wolves (5-4 pen.)
Saturday, March 1 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Brighton 2-1 Bournemouth
Tuesday, February 25 at 7.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Bournemouth 0-1 Wolves
Saturday, February 22 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Southampton 1-3 Bournemouth
Saturday, February 15 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Everton 0-2 Bournemouth
Saturday, February 8 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Bournemouth 0-2 Liverpool
Saturday, February 1 at 3pm in Premier League


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