SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 40.35%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 35.97% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.05%) and 0-2 (5.7%). The likeliest Southampton win was 2-1 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bournemouth would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Southampton | Draw | Bournemouth |
35.97% ( 0.07) | 23.68% ( -0.14) | 40.35% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 62.54% ( 0.54) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.58% ( 0.7) | 39.42% ( -0.69) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.24% ( 0.72) | 61.76% ( -0.72) |
| Southampton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.03% ( 0.35) | 21.97% ( -0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.73% ( 0.53) | 55.27% ( -0.53) |
| Bournemouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.15% ( 0.33) | 19.85% ( -0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.05% ( 0.53) | 51.95% ( -0.53) |
| Score Analysis |
| Southampton | Draw | Bournemouth |
| 2-1 @ 8.1% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.61% ( -0.15)2-0 @ 5.01% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 4.09% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 3.31% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 2.53% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.55% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.25% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 0.96% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.57% Total : 35.97% | 1-1 @ 10.68% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 6.55% ( 0.06)0-0 @ 4.36% ( -0.14)3-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.67% | 1-2 @ 8.64% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.05% ( -0.16)0-2 @ 5.7% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 4.66% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 3.53% ( 0.07)0-3 @ 3.07% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.88% ( 0.04)2-4 @ 1.43% ( 0.04)0-4 @ 1.24% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.15% Total : 40.35% |
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