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Premier League | Gameweek 23
Jan 25, 2025 at 3pm UK
Vitality Stadium
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Bournemouth
5 - 0
Nott'm Forest

Kluivert (9'), Ouattara (55', 61', 87'), Semenyo (90+1')
Cook (15'), Zabarnyi (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Morato (59'), Sosa (59'), Silva (64')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Newcastle 1-4 Bournemouth
Saturday, January 18 at 12.30pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 54.67%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 21.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.99%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.37%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 0-1 (6.66%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bournemouth would win this match.

Result
BournemouthDrawNottingham Forest
54.67% (-0.185 -0.19) 23.92% (0.045000000000002 0.05) 21.41% (0.136 0.14)
Both teams to score 50.94% (0.050000000000004 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.19% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)49.81% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.19% (-0.026 -0.03)71.81% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Bournemouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.89% (-0.081999999999994 -0.08)18.11% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.95% (-0.135 -0.13)49.05% (0.13 0.13)
Nottingham Forest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.2% (0.12 0.12)37.8% (-0.126 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.43% (0.117 0.12)74.57% (-0.12299999999999 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    Bournemouth 54.66%
    Nottingham Forest 21.41%
    Draw 23.91%
BournemouthDrawNottingham Forest
1-0 @ 11.69% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 9.99% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.72% (-0.0059999999999985 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.69% (-0.037000000000001 -0.04)
3-1 @ 5.54% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.69%
4-0 @ 2.43% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.37% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.15% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 54.66%
1-1 @ 11.37% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.84% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.73% (0.013000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 23.91%
0-1 @ 6.66% (0.029000000000001 0.03)
1-2 @ 5.54% (0.029 0.03)
0-2 @ 3.24% (0.025 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.8% (0.015 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.53% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.05% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 21.41%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Newcastle 1-4 Bournemouth
Saturday, January 18 at 12.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Chelsea 2-2 Bournemouth
Tuesday, January 14 at 7.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Bournemouth 5-1 West Brom
Saturday, January 11 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Bournemouth 1-0 Everton
Saturday, January 4 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Fulham 2-2 Bournemouth
Sunday, December 29 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Bournemouth 0-0 Crystal Palace
Thursday, December 26 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Nott'm Forest 3-2 Southampton
Sunday, January 19 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Nott'm Forest 1-1 Liverpool
Tuesday, January 14 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Nott'm Forest 2-0 Luton
Saturday, January 11 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Wolves 0-3 Nott'm Forest
Monday, January 6 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Everton 0-2 Nott'm Forest
Sunday, December 29 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Nott'm Forest 1-0 Spurs
Thursday, December 26 at 3pm in Premier League


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