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FA Cup | Fifth Round
Mar 1, 2025 at 3pm UK
Vitality Stadium
WL

Bournemouth
1 - 1
Wolves

Bournemouth win 5-4 on penalties
Evanilson (30')
Huijsen (62'), Scott (79'), Kluivert (106'), Hill (113'), Kerkez (120+1')
FT
(aet)
Cunha (60')
Gomes (32'), Semedo (64'), Strand Larsen (74'), Ait-Nouri (90+5'), Johnstone (130')
Cunha (120')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brighton 2-1 Bournemouth
Tuesday, February 25 at 7.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Wolves 1-2 Fulham
Tuesday, February 25 at 7.30pm in Premier League

We say: Bournemouth 2-2 Wolverhampton Wanderers (a.e.t, Bournemouth to win on penalties)

Assuming Bournemouth do not go down to 10 early doors as was the case last weekend, we ought to be in for a much different game on Saturday, one in which Wolves should feel that a diminished Cherries defence is there for the taking. However, Iraola's men can bite back just as hard in the final third, and it could very well take the lottery of penalties to settle this scrap; the hosts have our vote to make home advantage count in that scenario to progress to the last eight. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Bournemouth win with a probability of 55.26%. A win for Wolverhampton Wanderers has a probability of 23.22% and a draw has a probability of 21.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (7.85%) and 1-0 (7.81%). The likeliest Wolverhampton Wanderers win is 1-2 (5.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.67%).

Result
BournemouthDrawWolverhampton Wanderers
55.26% (-0.826 -0.83) 21.52% (0.259 0.26) 23.22% (0.567 0.57)
Both teams to score 61.5% (-0.171 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.01% (-0.557 -0.56)36.99% (0.558 0.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.82% (-0.607 -0.61)59.18% (0.607 0.61)
Bournemouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.6% (-0.431 -0.43)13.4% (0.433 0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.67% (-0.876 -0.88)40.33% (0.877 0.88)
Wolverhampton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.01% (0.15599999999999 0.16)28.99% (-0.155 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.12% (0.194 0.19)64.88% (-0.194 -0.19)
Score Analysis
    Bournemouth 55.26%
    Wolverhampton Wanderers 23.22%
    Draw 21.52%
BournemouthDrawWolverhampton Wanderers
2-1 @ 9.72% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.85% (-0.04 -0.04)
1-0 @ 7.81% (0.087 0.09)
3-1 @ 6.51% (-0.111 -0.11)
3-0 @ 5.26% (-0.112 -0.11)
3-2 @ 4.03% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
4-1 @ 3.27% (-0.11 -0.11)
4-0 @ 2.64% (-0.101 -0.1)
4-2 @ 2.03% (-0.059 -0.06)
5-1 @ 1.32% (-0.066 -0.07)
5-0 @ 1.06% (-0.058 -0.06)
Other @ 3.78%
Total : 55.26%
1-1 @ 9.67% (0.15 0.15)
2-2 @ 6.02% (0.023 0.02)
0-0 @ 3.88% (0.105 0.11)
3-3 @ 1.66% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 21.52%
1-2 @ 5.99% (0.119 0.12)
0-1 @ 4.81% (0.15 0.15)
0-2 @ 2.98% (0.106 0.11)
2-3 @ 2.48% (0.02 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.47% (0.06 0.06)
0-3 @ 1.23% (0.049 0.05)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 23.22%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Brighton 2-1 Bournemouth
Tuesday, February 25 at 7.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Bournemouth 0-1 Wolves
Saturday, February 22 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Southampton 1-3 Bournemouth
Saturday, February 15 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Everton 0-2 Bournemouth
Saturday, February 8 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Bournemouth 0-2 Liverpool
Saturday, February 1 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Bournemouth 5-0 Nott'm Forest
Saturday, January 25 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Wolves 1-2 Fulham
Tuesday, February 25 at 7.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Bournemouth 0-1 Wolves
Saturday, February 22 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Liverpool 2-1 Wolves
Sunday, February 16 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Blackburn 0-2 Wolves
Sunday, February 9 at 12.30pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Wolves 2-0 Aston Villa
Saturday, February 1 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Wolves 0-1 Arsenal
Saturday, January 25 at 3pm in Premier League


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