Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 42.44%. A win for Melbourne City had a probability of 34.43% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.69%) and 2-0 (5.74%). The likeliest Melbourne City win was 1-2 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Melbourne Victory | Draw | Melbourne City |
42.44% (![]() | 23.13% (![]() | 34.43% (![]() |
Both teams to score 64.25% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.96% (![]() | 37.04% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.77% (![]() | 59.23% (![]() |
Melbourne Victory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.05% (![]() | 17.95% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.21% (![]() | 48.79% (![]() |
Melbourne City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.31% (![]() | 21.69% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.17% (![]() | 54.83% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Melbourne Victory | Draw | Melbourne City |
2-1 @ 8.78% (![]() 1-0 @ 6.69% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.74% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.02% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.84% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.29% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.16% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.65% 4-0 @ 1.41% ( ![]() Other @ 3.87% Total : 42.44% | 1-1 @ 10.22% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.71% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3.89% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.96% ( ![]() Other @ 0.36% Total : 23.13% | 1-2 @ 7.81% (![]() 0-1 @ 5.95% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.55% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.98% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.42% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.32% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.52% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.31% ( ![]() Other @ 3.58% Total : 34.43% |
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