SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Adelaide United win with a probability of 42.42%. A win for Melbourne Victory has a probability of 35.44% and a draw has a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (5.48%) and 3-1 (5.19%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win is 1-2 (7.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.16%).
| Result | ||
| Adelaide United | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
42.42% ( 0.57) | 22.15% ( 0.17) | 35.44% ( -0.73) |
| Both teams to score 68.38% ( -0.85) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.22% ( -1.03) | 31.78% ( 1.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.7% ( -1.22) | 53.3% ( 1.22) |
| Adelaide United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.18% ( -0.2) | 15.82% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55% ( -0.38) | 45% ( 0.38) |
| Melbourne Victory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.23% ( -0.81) | 18.77% ( 0.81) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.83% ( -1.36) | 50.17% ( 1.37) |
| Score Analysis |
| Adelaide United | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
| 2-1 @ 8.44% ( 0.14) 1-0 @ 5.48% ( 0.27)3-1 @ 5.19% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 5.05% ( 0.21)3-2 @ 4.34% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 3.1% ( 0.11)4-1 @ 2.39% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 2% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 1.43% ( 0.04)4-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.06)Other @ 3.88% Total : 42.42% | 1-1 @ 9.16% ( 0.22) 2-2 @ 7.06% ( -0.06)0-0 @ 2.97% ( 0.17)3-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.53% Total : 22.15% | 1-2 @ 7.66% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.97% ( 0.15)1-3 @ 4.27% ( -0.12)0-2 @ 4.16% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 3.94% ( -0.14)0-3 @ 2.32% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 1.79% ( -0.1)2-4 @ 1.65% ( -0.1)3-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.07)0-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.7% Total : 35.44% |
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