Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Sydney FC win with a probability of 41.11%. A win for Melbourne Victory has a probability of 36.42% and a draw has a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (5.7%) and 2-0 (5.06%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win is 1-2 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.48%).

Result
Sydney FC	Draw	Melbourne Victory
41.11% ( 0.23)	22.46% ( -0.12)	36.42% ( -0.11)

Both teams to score 67.32% (

0.45)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.77% (

0.59)

33.23% (

-0.59)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.01% (

0.67)

54.98% (

-0.67)

Sydney FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.07% (

0.34)

16.93% (

-0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53% (

0.6)

46.99% (

-0.59)

Melbourne Victory Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.03% (

0.22)

18.96% (

-0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.51% (

0.36)

50.49% (

-0.35)

Score Analysis

Sydney FC 41.11%

Melbourne Victory 36.42%

Draw 22.46%

Sydney FC	Draw	Melbourne Victory
2-1 @ 8.42% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 5.7% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 5.06% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 4.99% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 4.14% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 3% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.21% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.84% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 1.33% ( 0.02) 4-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.4% Total : 41.11%	1-1 @ 9.48% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 7% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 3.21% ( -0.1) 3-3 @ 2.3% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.48% Total : 22.46%	1-2 @ 7.88% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 5.34% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 4.44% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 4.37% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.88% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 2.46% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.82% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.61% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 1.02% ( -0) 3-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.65% Total : 36.42%