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Australian A-League | Gameweek 14
Jan 26, 2024 at 8.45am UK
AAMI Park
SF
Victory
1 - 1
Sydney FC
Machach (17')
Marchan (90+1'), Miranda (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Courtney-Perkins (10')
Brattan (69')
Wood (36')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Melbourne Victory and Sydney FC.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wellington 1-1 Victory
Friday, January 19 at 6am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Sydney FC 4-0 Newcastle Jets
Friday, January 19 at 8.45am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 44.96%. A win for Sydney FC has a probability of 32.03% and a draw has a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (6.96%) and 2-0 (6.16%). The likeliest Sydney FC win is 1-2 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.2%).

Result
Melbourne VictoryDrawSydney FC
44.96% (-0.746 -0.75) 23.01% (0.208 0.21) 32.03% (0.536 0.54)
Both teams to score 63.81% (-0.498 -0.5)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.75% (-0.769 -0.77)37.25% (0.767 0.77)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.54% (-0.834 -0.83)59.46% (0.832 0.83)
Melbourne Victory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.98% (-0.583 -0.58)17.02% (0.583 0.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.84% (-1.045 -1.05)47.16% (1.042 1.04)
Sydney FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.9% (-0.061000000000007 -0.06)23.1% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.05% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)56.95% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Melbourne Victory 44.96%
    Sydney FC 32.03%
    Draw 23%
Melbourne VictoryDrawSydney FC
2-1 @ 9.03% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-0 @ 6.96% (0.124 0.12)
2-0 @ 6.16% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.33% (-0.123 -0.12)
3-2 @ 3.91% (-0.097 -0.1)
3-0 @ 3.64% (-0.078 -0.08)
4-1 @ 2.36% (-0.102 -0.1)
4-2 @ 1.73% (-0.078 -0.08)
4-0 @ 1.61% (-0.066 -0.07)
Other @ 4.23%
Total : 44.96%
1-1 @ 10.2% (0.17 0.17)
2-2 @ 6.62% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 3.93% (0.145 0.15)
3-3 @ 1.91% (-0.051 -0.05)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 23%
1-2 @ 7.48% (0.107 0.11)
0-1 @ 5.76% (0.202 0.2)
0-2 @ 4.22% (0.141 0.14)
1-3 @ 3.65% (0.046 0.05)
2-3 @ 3.23% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.06% (0.065 0.06)
1-4 @ 1.34% (0.014 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.18% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 32.03%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Wellington 1-1 Victory
Friday, January 19 at 6am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Central Coast 1-1 Victory
Saturday, January 13 at 6.15am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Perth Glory 2-3 Victory
Saturday, January 6 at 10.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Victory 2-0 Adelaide United
Saturday, December 30 at 8.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Melbourne City 0-0 Victory
Saturday, December 23 at 8.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Victory 3-0 Sydney FC
Saturday, December 16 at 8.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Sydney FC 4-0 Newcastle Jets
Friday, January 19 at 8.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Adelaide United 4-3 Sydney FC
Saturday, January 13 at 9am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Brisbane Roar 1-2 Sydney FC
Saturday, January 6 at 8.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Sydney FC 3-1 Wellington
Friday, December 29 at 8.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Sydney FC 4-2 Western Utd
Saturday, December 23 at 6.30am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Victory 3-0 Sydney FC
Saturday, December 16 at 8.45am in Australian A-League

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