SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 49.22%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 26.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.54%) and 0-2 (8.21%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 1-0 (6.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%).
| Result | ||
| Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
26.55% ( -1.85) | 24.22% ( -0.38) | 49.22% ( 2.23) |
| Both teams to score 55.76% ( -0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.79% ( 0.39) | 46.21% ( -0.39) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.5% ( 0.37) | 68.5% ( -0.36) |
| Wellington Phoenix Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.7% ( -1.19) | 31.3% ( 1.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.35% ( -1.41) | 67.65% ( 1.41) |
| Melbourne Victory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.16% ( 1.07) | 18.84% ( -1.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.72% ( 1.76) | 50.28% ( -1.75) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
| 1-0 @ 6.85% ( -0.35) 2-1 @ 6.64% ( -0.33)2-0 @ 3.98% ( -0.34)3-1 @ 2.57% ( -0.22)3-2 @ 2.15% ( -0.11)3-0 @ 1.54% ( -0.19)Other @ 2.83% Total : 26.55% | 1-1 @ 11.43% ( -0.18) 0-0 @ 5.9% ( -0.1)2-2 @ 5.54% ( -0.08)3-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.22% | 0-1 @ 9.84% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 9.54% ( 0.17)0-2 @ 8.21% ( 0.41)1-3 @ 5.31% ( 0.27)0-3 @ 4.57% ( 0.37)2-3 @ 3.08% ( 0.06)1-4 @ 2.22% ( 0.18)0-4 @ 1.91% ( 0.21)2-4 @ 1.29% ( 0.07)Other @ 3.25% Total : 49.23% |
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