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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 46.33%. A win for Wellington Phoenix has a probability of 29.96% and a draw has a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (8.23%) and 0-2 (7.01%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win is 2-1 (7.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.91%).
| Result | ||
| Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
29.96% ( -0.64) | 23.71% ( 0.31) | 46.33% ( 0.34) |
| Both teams to score 60.09% ( -1.5) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.34% ( -1.81) | 41.65% ( 1.81) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.94% ( -1.85) | 64.05% ( 1.86) |
| Wellington Phoenix Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.47% ( -1.31) | 26.53% ( 1.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.27% ( -1.77) | 61.73% ( 1.77) |
| Melbourne Victory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.78% ( -0.58) | 18.22% ( 0.58) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.76% ( -0.99) | 49.23% ( 1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
| 2-1 @ 7.25% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 6.41% ( 0.29)2-0 @ 4.25% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.21% ( -0.16)3-2 @ 2.73% ( -0.19)3-0 @ 1.88% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 1.06% ( -0.1)4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.1)Other @ 2.26% Total : 29.96% | 1-1 @ 10.91% ( 0.28) 2-2 @ 6.17% ( -0.19)0-0 @ 4.83% ( 0.39)3-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.14)Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.7% | 1-2 @ 9.3% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 8.23% ( 0.51)0-2 @ 7.01% ( 0.31)1-3 @ 5.28% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 3.98% ( 0.11)2-3 @ 3.5% ( -0.17)1-4 @ 2.25% ( -0.07)0-4 @ 1.69% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.49% ( -0.1)Other @ 3.61% Total : 46.33% |
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