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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Melbourne City win with a probability of 41.64%. A win for Melbourne Victory has a probability of 33.6% and a draw has a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.58%) and 2-0 (6.57%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win is 1-2 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.59%).
| Result | ||
| Melbourne City | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
41.64% ( -0.32) | 24.76% ( -0.05) | 33.6% ( 0.37) |
| Both teams to score 58.05% ( 0.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.96% ( 0.34) | 45.04% ( -0.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.61% ( 0.32) | 67.39% ( -0.33) |
| Melbourne City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.35% ( -0.01) | 21.65% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.22% ( -0.01) | 54.77% ( 0.01) |
| Melbourne Victory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.09% ( 0.38) | 25.91% ( -0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.09% ( 0.51) | 60.9% ( -0.52) |
| Score Analysis |
| Melbourne City | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
| 2-1 @ 8.87% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 8.58% ( -0.13)2-0 @ 6.57% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 4.52% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.35% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 3.06% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.73% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.28% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.17% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.51% Total : 41.64% | 1-1 @ 11.59% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.99% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 5.61% ( -0.08)3-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.76% | 1-2 @ 7.83% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 7.58% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 5.12% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 3.52% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 2.7% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 2.3% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 1.19% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.46% Total : 33.6% |
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