Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 54.37%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 25.34% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.67%) and 0-2 (6.1%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 (6.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.
Result | ||
Newcastle Jets | Draw | Melbourne City |
25.34% (![]() | 20.29% (![]() | 54.37% (![]() |
Both teams to score 68.8% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
71.4% (![]() | 28.6% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
50.51% (![]() | 49.49% (![]() |
Newcastle Jets Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.2% (![]() | 22.79% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.5% (![]() | 56.5% (![]() |
Melbourne City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.11% (![]() | 10.88% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
64.98% (![]() | 35.02% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Newcastle Jets | Draw | Melbourne City |
2-1 @ 6.02% (![]() 1-0 @ 3.67% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.29% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 2.97% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 2.71% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.34% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.22% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.1% ( ![]() Other @ 3.04% Total : 25.34% | 1-1 @ 8.14% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.67% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 2.48% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 2.43% ( ![]() Other @ 0.57% Total : 20.29% | 1-2 @ 9.02% (![]() 1-3 @ 6.67% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 6.1% ( ![]() 0-1 @ 5.5% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 4.93% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 4.51% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 3.7% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 2.73% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 2.5% ( ![]() 1-5 @ 1.64% ( ![]() 3-4 @ 1.35% ( ![]() 2-5 @ 1.21% 0-5 @ 1.11% ( ![]() Other @ 3.39% Total : 54.37% |
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