SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 44.27%. A win for Adelaide United had a probability of 33.07% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.39%) and 2-0 (5.77%). The likeliest Adelaide United win was 1-2 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Melbourne Victory | Draw | Adelaide United |
44.27% ( 1.82) | 22.67% ( -0.79) | 33.07% ( -1.02) |
| Both teams to score 65.55% ( 2.62) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.85% ( 3.58) | 35.15% ( -3.58) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.85% ( 3.88) | 57.15% ( -3.88) |
| Melbourne Victory Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.53% ( 2.17) | 16.47% ( -2.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 53.83% ( 3.78) | 46.17% ( -3.78) |
| Adelaide United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.48% ( 1.13) | 21.52% ( -1.13) |
