Second place is up for grabs in this one and while it might be in Adelaide United's hands, the momentum is behind Central Coast Mariners which should lead to them just edging this one.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 39.35%. A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 38.67% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (4.99%) and 3-1 (4.82%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Central Coast Mariners would win this match.
0.39) 
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