SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 50.81%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 26.35% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.26%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 1-2 (6.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.45%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Central Coast Mariners would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Central Coast Mariners | Draw | Brisbane Roar |
50.81% ( -1.17) | 22.83% ( 0.32) | 26.35% ( 0.85) |
| Both teams to score 60.32% ( -0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.9% ( -0.73) | 40.09% ( 0.73) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.54% ( -0.76) | 62.46% ( 0.76) |
| Central Coast Mariners Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.05% ( -0.67) | 15.94% ( 0.67) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 54.79% ( -1.24) | 45.21% ( 1.24) |
| Brisbane Roar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.76% ( 0.25) | 28.23% ( -0.25) |
