SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western Sydney Wanderers win with a probability of 42.78%. A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 33.27% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western Sydney Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.78%) and 2-0 (6.34%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Western Sydney Wanderers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Western Sydney Wanderers | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
42.78% ( -0.68) | 23.95% ( -0.11) | 33.27% ( 0.79) |
| Both teams to score 60.83% ( 0.7) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.64% ( 0.79) | 41.36% ( -0.79) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.24% ( 0.79) | 63.75% ( -0.79) |
| Western Sydney Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.42% ( 0.03) | 19.58% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 48.49% ( 0.05) | 51.51% ( -0.05) |
| Central Coast Mariners Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.64% ( 0.84) | 24.35% ( -0.84) |
