SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western Sydney Wanderers win with a probability of 40.04%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 35.06% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western Sydney Wanderers win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.47%) and 0-2 (6.31%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Newcastle Jets | Draw | Western Sydney Wanderers |
35.06% ( 0.43) | 24.9% ( -0.3) | 40.04% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 57.9% ( 1.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.61% ( 1.45) | 45.38% ( -1.45) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.28% ( 1.37) | 67.72% ( -1.37) |
| Newcastle Jets Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.78% ( 0.94) | 25.22% ( -0.94) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.04% ( 1.27) | 59.96% ( -1.27) |
| Western Sydney Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.43% ( 0.57) | 22.57% ( -0.57) |
