SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 57.52%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 20.68%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.38%) and 2-0 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.16%), while for a Newcastle Jets win it was 1-2 (5.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Adelaide United | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
57.52% ( -0.08) | 21.8% ( 0.02) | 20.68% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 56.77% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.46% ( -0.01) | 41.53% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.06% ( -0.01) | 63.93% ( 0.01) |
| Adelaide United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.78% ( -0.03) | 14.21% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 58.05% ( -0.05) | 41.94% ( 0.05) |
| Newcastle Jets Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.18% ( 0.05) | 33.81% ( -0.05) |
